Funnel math
Conversion rates multiply.
Every GTM model is a funnel: visitors → signups → activated → paid. Being able to run one in your head lets you pressure-test any plan or forecast on the spot.
The move
Start at the top and multiply by each stage’s rate, one at a time. Each stage’s rate applies to the people who made it through the *previous* stage, not to the original top.
Worked example
10,000 visitors, 3% sign up, 40% activate, 25% pay
- 10,000 × 3% = 300 signups
- 300 × 40% = 120 activated
- 120 × 25% = 30 customers
- End-to-end rate = all the rates multiplied: 3% × 40% × 25% = 0.3%.
- Doubling *any* stage doubles the output. Stages are equally powerful in relative terms.